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Tuesday, April 27, 1999
Sometimes pictures do lie
(Click on the thumbnail views of the
photos below to view them at full size.)
By Jeffrey Dunnihoo
© 1999 WorldNetDaily.com
"There is one safeguard known generally to the wise,
which is an advantage and security to all, but
especially to democracies as against despots. What is
it? DISTRUST." - Demosthenes
As NATO's 50th anniversary festivities in
Washington draw to a close, a war continues to
be waged on two fronts: one with the Serbian
army in Yugoslavia, and on the other side, with
the world press and public opinion. There
appears to be little resistance on either front.
NATO feeds the press with daily briefings,
including maps of targets, video clips of
bombing runs, and occasional descriptions or
aerial photography of alleged atrocities to bolster
political resolve for escalation of the conflict. The
press dutifully passes on the reports from
NATO, with precious little means to verify
them, and apparently very little effort to do so
either. At best, the press has managed to
indirectly corroborate some NATO stories with
third-hand anecdotal evidence from fleeing
refugees.
We all remember on Christmas Eve how the
television weatherman would point out a
superimposed image of Santa Claus flying
across the radar screen. Our childhood naiveté
allowed us the privilege of believing what we
saw, and our parents had no trouble confirming
to us that those images were real, and that we
had better get to bed before Santa passed us by!
Harmless propaganda, sure, but we were
learning to defer to the experts.
When fighting a defensive war, it is easy to
define the aggressor as the "bad guy," but when
NATO reformed itself to become the offensive
challenger, and policeman of Europe, it required
a serious public relations campaign on the home
front to convince its constituents that their cause
was just. This propaganda may indeed be
benign, and the cause may in fact be just. But
any free and democratic society raining bombs
on a sovereign nation must have a duty to
constantly review the facts in detail to verify that
it is on the "right" and "just" track.
The computers on our desks today are probably
more powerful than what most CIA photo
experts had 10 years ago at the end of the Cold
War, so it seems like the public has a powerful
set of tools to evaluate the propaganda from both
sides. But just like in our childhood, we prefer to
defer instead of analyzing with healthy
skepticism what we are being shown on the 5
o'clock news.
Take, for example, the recent photo released by
NATO as proof positive of refugee camps inside
Kosovo.
The boxes in the
left photo may indeed be "Makeshift Shelters" in
displaced refugee camps, but without the
labels at this resolution, one might also see it as a photo of
milk cartons scattered in a park! This could be a
Campgrounds of America near Atlanta, Georgia
for all we know, but since NATO has placed an
authoritative map nearby, we tend to trust their
assessment.
Obviously, it would be unwise to distribute the
full resolution images so that the enemy (and
potential enemies) would be able to pinpoint our
intelligence capabilities. But the question for
civilian politicians supposedly in oversight of
the military should be this, "If a lay-citizen
cannot tell what a supporting photo shows
without 'expert' labels, then is it ethical to use
such a photo to justify political and military
objectives to those citizens?" In other words, if
one must rely on the experts for their opinion
anyway, then any additional images for
justification are just superfluous propaganda.
Imagine being able to
convict someone for a crime based on the coarse
pixelized images television uses to hide the
identities of suspects on "Cops." For example,
could you identify Monica Lewinsky from
an 8x8 pixel array?
Another example of "content free" images can
be found in the Izbica "Mass Graves"
photographs.
The yellow NATO markings immediately
indicate the expert assertion that this is a before
and after picture of graves dug in a field. This
begs for a simple, closer analysis.
The "after" picture
(right) has very short shadows, so it can be
assumed that this was taken near
midday, making south be in the
direction toward the bottom left of the picture.
The "before" picture (left) has very long shadows
to the lower right (toward the east), indicating
that this photo must have been taken near
sunset. There are no times or dates given by
NATO for these photos, but if there really was
some modification to the ground, then these
would have had to have been taken on different
days, which begs the first question: "Why did
NATO take the 'before' picture at all?" There are
a few farmhouses, but nothing of apparent
strategic importance.
There are three possible explanations. (1) NATO
somehow knew the area would be of importance
later; (2) The pictures were not actually taken in
the prescribed order, and the "sunset" photo was
taken after the "midday" photo to check back on
the odd formations; or, (3) NATO photographs
every square foot of the theater, and recalls and
compares all of the photo reconnaissance for
activity. The latter is probably the most likely
explanation, but that could be easily assessed by
questioning the details of the photograph in a
NATO press briefing, which has not been
adequately attempted to date.
Another possibility is that the images were
simply fabricated or modified. While there are
many advanced methods for detecting such
things (including walking up to the site with a
news camera), a more simple (and safer) method
is to simply look for irregularities in the color
gradients of the image. Each pixel in a smoothed
or blurred image is usually relatively close to the
color of the next pixel. A false color filter can be
used to highlight unusual color gradient
artifacts, such as would be created with a
"cut-n-paste" operation. Without much effort, a
stair-stepped gradient around the added yellow
marks becomes apparent in the image (probably
from converting the image to JPEG after
annotating).
It is also apparent
that the "graves" have no obvious
palette discontinuities, so
they probably were on the original image, at least before the yellow
lines were drawn on it in Belgium (or at the
Pentagon).
Simply comparing known artifacts in the image
to the unknown artifacts can reveal important
information, such as comparing the "graves" to
obvious things like trees, houses and shadows
for size and color. A non-linear false-color
transform helps highlight these comparisons.
The image below sets the darkest one-percent of
colors in the image to deep blue, and the
brightest one-percent in the picture to red.
Surprisingly, blue
can be seen on some of the "graves" (near
midday remember.) These blue spots indicate a very dark direct
shadow, exactly the same darkness as the big
shadows of the house, the fences, and the bar
ditches on the road. Therefore, the "graves" must
either be high enough to cast a shadow, or deep
as a well (and empty.) The nearby field shows
the same dark blue, indicating perhaps some
vegetative growth or other change from the
"before" image.
The same dark color might be registered because
the soil is that black, but then you would expect
that color to be fairly uniform among the turned
soil. The dark spots are not uniform, yet they are
distributed like you might expect tall and short
shadows from different people, for example.
Also, the orientation and placement of the "mass
graves" near the farmhouses just doesn't make
any sense. Why dig sideways up against a hill
where there are big rocks? Why not dig in the
soft tilled fields next to the road? And frankly,
why would "mass graves" be dug individually
instead of a single large pit such were discovered
by Allied ground troops after World War II?
Considering what might be near a farmhouse,
could the "graves" really be hay bales or hay
stacks? Bales would explain the placement, and
the shadows, but on closer inspection, the
"graves" don't appear round or stacked ... they
appear to be vertical. There is a distinct vertical
rectilinear alignment of the rows of "graves."
They are parallel with the walls of the houses
and fences. They appear to be 5 or 6 feet tall (7-8
pixels tall, compared to 29 pixels for the 20-foot,
two-story walls of the farmhouse). And the
vertical alignment is not likely a resolution
artifact caused by pixelization because the road
and the fields have many odd-oriented holes and
rocks that are smaller, and are obviously
different in their alignment with the "graves."
Note the stick figures
are drawn to scale to the houses for
comparison with the "graves."
Whatever they are (or were), there appear to be
three rows of about 25 dark vertical objects in a
field at the bottom of a mountain. Are they Serb
or KLA troops, haystacks, or a newly planted
small orchard? Whatever they are, it should be
difficult for any responsible citizen or journalist
to accept these photos at face value as part of the
rationale behind the war in Kosovo, even if it is
justified on other grounds.
It is completely possible that horrible things are
going on in Kosovo, based on Milosevic's track
record in the past. Milosevic may indeed be
killing civilians en masse right now. But if
NASA can take a picture of a star 12 billion light
years away, why is this the best image NATO
can come up with from 15,000 feet to galvanize
support for the war? Until someone gets into
Kosovo, one might as well just take NATO's
word for the mass graves because these
particular photos do not add to the credibility of
their stories.
© 1999 Western Journalism Center
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